Early forecast · U19 Division

Predicted 2026/27 Regular-Season Table

Name: U19 Boys Division 2026/27 Forecast
Creator: PlayerSignal

A forecast of the table when the regular season ends, before the playoffs. It is based on this season's results, opponent strength and the players available to each team, and updates after every played match.

Medium certainty10,000 possible outcomesUpdated 23/09/2026

45matches played

75matches remaining

37.5%schedule completed

Mediumcurrent certainty

10,000possible outcomes tested

Race for places 1-2Roskilde 59.4%Kolding IF is next at 24.1%

Top-two favouriteB.93 91.6%Highest current probability of finishing in places 1-2

Biggest expected riseNykøbing FCCurrent 14 · forecast 12.8

Forecast table

PPG makes teams with different numbers of matches comparable. The range shows where the team finished in 8 out of 10 tested outcomes.

DBU schedule ↗

Forecast	Club	Current	PPG	Expected finish	Most likely range	Finishing chances
Places 1-2
1Stable	B.93 Why here? Neutral strength: #1 · 1592Last season: 1224 returning players	16 played	3.0018 total pts	1.41-2 range	Places 1-291.6% chance	1-2 91.6%3-16 8.4%
2Down 0.5	Roskilde Why here? Neutral strength: #2 · 1569Last season: 614 returning players	26 played	2.6716 total pts	2.51-4 range	Places 1-259.4% chance	1-2 59.4%3-16 40.6%
Places 3-16
3Stable	Kolding IF Why here? Neutral strength: #3 · 1547Last season: 215 returning players	45 played	2.4012 total pts	3.92-7 range	Places 3-1675.9% chance	1-2 24.1%3-16 75.9%
4Down 1.4	AB Why here? Neutral strength: #4 · 1539Last season: 819 returning players	36 played	2.1713 total pts	4.42-7 range	Places 3-1683.9% chance	1-2 16.1%3-16 83.9%
5Down 1.1	Næsby Why here? Neutral strength: #6 · 1518Last season: 719 returning players	56 played	2.0012 total pts	6.13-9 range	Places 3-1696% chance	1-2 4%3-16 96%
6Down 0.7	HIK Why here? Neutral strength: #5 · 1522Last season: 419 returning players	66 played	1.6710 total pts	6.74-10 range	Places 3-1697.7% chance	1-2 2.3%3-16 97.7%
7Stable	AC Amager Academy Why here? Neutral strength: #7 · 1514Last season: 1320 returning players	76 played	1.6710 total pts	6.94-10 range	Places 3-1698.4% chance	1-2 1.6%3-16 98.4%
8Up 0.6	Hvidovre IF Why here? Neutral strength: #9 · 1495Last season: 1018 returning players	95 played	1.407 total pts	8.45-12 range	Places 3-1699.4% chance	1-2 0.6%3-16 99.4%
9Down 0.8	Hobro IK Why here? Neutral strength: #8 · 1498Last season: 920 returning players	86 played	1.177 total pts	8.85-12 range	Places 3-1699.7% chance	1-2 0.3%3-16 99.7%
10Stable	Vendsyssel FF Why here? Neutral strength: #10 · 1479No equivalent last-season position0 returning players	105 played	1.206 total pts	10.37-14 range	Places 3-1699.9% chance	1-2 0.1%3-16 99.9%
11Up 0.6	FC Helsingør Why here? Neutral strength: #11 · 1476Last season: 320 returning players	116 played	1.006 total pts	10.47-14 range	Places 3-16100% chance	1-2 0%3-16 100%
12Up 0.9	Hørsholm-Usserød IK Why here? Neutral strength: #13 · 1459No equivalent last-season position0 returning players	135 played	0.804 total pts	12.19-15 range	Places 3-16100% chance	1-2 0%3-16 100%
13Down 0.6	Næstved Why here? Neutral strength: #12 · 1461Last season: 1519 returning players	126 played	0.674 total pts	12.69-15 range	Places 3-16100% chance	1-2 0%3-16 100%
14Up 1.2	Nykøbing FC Why here? Neutral strength: #14 · 1447Last season: 1420 returning players	145 played	0.603 total pts	12.89-15 range	Places 3-16100% chance	1-2 0%3-16 100%
15Up 1.1	IF Lyseng Why here? Neutral strength: #15 · 1440Last season: 1113 returning players	156 played	0.503 total pts	13.911-16 range	Places 3-16100% chance	1-2 0%3-16 100%
16Up 1	SfB-Oure FA Why here? Neutral strength: #16 · 1418Last season: 1620 returning players	165 played	0.000 total pts	1513-16 range	Places 3-16100% chance	1-2 0%3-16 100%

Tested on past seasons

We test the forecast by replaying completed U17/U19 seasons from the same point in the calendar. At each checkpoint it only sees facts that were available then: results, opponent strength, player continuity and the remaining schedule.

2.39PlayerSignal · average position error9.8% closer than using the points-per-game table only

2.58Club strength only

2.65Current table pace only

How to read it: lower is better. A score of 2.39 means the average club finished about two to three places away from the forecast. The comparison cards show whether the full PlayerSignal forecast beats simpler shortcuts.

Backtest: 2025/26 and 2024/25 · U17/U19 Liga and Division · 10,000 possible season outcomes at every checkpoint.

How the forecast is calculated

The forecast adjusts current results for opponent strength and capped score margin, then combines them with a shrinking previous-season prior and each returning player's latest 10 validated U17/U19 matches. It tests 10,000 possible final tables.

15.5%last season's U19 Division table

76.8%current results and opponent strength

7.7%players returning from last season

+35rating points for the home team

This is an early estimate, not a final result. It forecasts where each U19 Boys Division team could finish, with a cut line after place 2.