Early forecast · U19 Liga

Predicted 2026/27 Regular-Season Table

Name: U19 Boys Liga 2026/27 Forecast
Creator: PlayerSignal

A forecast of the table when the regular season ends, before the playoffs. It is based on this season's results, opponent strength and the players available to each team, and updates after every played match.

Medium certainty10,000 possible outcomesUpdated 23/09/2026

45matches played

51matches remaining

46.9%schedule completed

Mediumcurrent certainty

10,000possible outcomes tested

Race for places 1-6OB 44.1%FC Nordsjælland is next at 31.4%

Highest chance of places 13-16HB Køge 84.3%Team currently most likely to finish in this range

Biggest expected riseEsbjergCurrent 16 · forecast 13.4

Forecast table

PPG makes teams with different numbers of matches comparable. The range shows where the team finished in 8 out of 10 tested outcomes.

DBU schedule ↗

Forecast	Club	Current	PPG	Expected finish	Most likely range	Finishing chances
Places 1-6
1Down 0.9	FC København Why here? Neutral strength: #1 · 1580Last season: 226 returning players	17 played	2.4317 total pts	1.91-3 range	Places 1-6100% chance	1-6 100%7-12 0%13-16 0%
2Up 1	Sønderjyske Fodbold Why here? Neutral strength: #3 · 1566Last season: 1318 returning players	36 played	2.6716 total pts	21-3 range	Places 1-699.8% chance	1-6 99.8%7-12 0.2%13-16 0%
3Stable	Vejle Why here? Neutral strength: #2 · 1571Last season: 624 returning players	27 played	2.4317 total pts	2.41-3 range	Places 1-699.8% chance	1-6 99.8%7-12 0.2%13-16 0%
4Up 1.5	AGF Why here? Neutral strength: #6 · 1508Last season: 323 returning players	85 played	1.407 total pts	6.54-11 range	Places 1-658.8% chance	1-6 58.8%7-12 37.2%13-16 4%
5Down 3	Lyngby Why here? Neutral strength: #4 · 1508Last season: 1219 returning players	46 played	1.509 total pts	74-11 range	Places 1-649.8% chance	1-6 49.8%7-12 45.8%13-16 4.5%
6Down 0.5	OB Why here? Neutral strength: #7 · 1504Last season: 519 returning players	75 played	1.407 total pts	7.54-12 range	Places 7-1248.6% chance	1-6 44.1%7-12 48.6%13-16 7.4%
Places 7-12
7Down 3.3	FC Nordsjælland Why here? Neutral strength: #5 · 1508Last season: 118 returning players	56 played	1.338 total pts	8.35-12 range	Places 7-1258.9% chance	1-6 31.4%7-12 58.9%13-16 9.7%
8Up 0.6	Viborg FF Why here? Neutral strength: #9 · 1495No equivalent last-season position21 returning players	95 played	1.407 total pts	8.45-13 range	Places 7-1257.5% chance	1-6 31.4%7-12 57.5%13-16 11.1%
9Down 2.8	Brøndby Why here? Neutral strength: #8 · 1498Last season: 420 returning players	66 played	1.338 total pts	8.85-13 range	Places 7-1260.7% chance	1-6 26.7%7-12 60.7%13-16 12.7%
10Up 1.5	AaB Why here? Neutral strength: #10 · 1493Last season: 1025 returning players	116 played	1.006 total pts	9.55-14 range	Places 7-1262.7% chance	1-6 18.9%7-12 62.7%13-16 18.4%
11Stable	Silkeborg Why here? Neutral strength: #11 · 1482Last season: 719 returning players	106 played	1.177 total pts	9.75-14 range	Places 7-1260% chance	1-6 18.6%7-12 60%13-16 21.4%
12Up 1	FC Midtjylland Why here? Neutral strength: #12 · 1473Last season: 816 returning players	125 played	0.804 total pts	116-15 range	Places 7-1252.2% chance	1-6 10.3%7-12 52.2%13-16 37.6%
Places 13-16
13Up 0.5	Randers Freja FC Why here? Neutral strength: #14 · 1457Last season: 1119 returning players	135 played	0.603 total pts	12.58-16 range	Places 13-1658% chance	1-6 4.2%7-12 37.8%13-16 58%
14Up 1.4	AC Horsens Why here? Neutral strength: #15 · 1454Last season: 1421 returning players	145 played	0.603 total pts	12.68-16 range	Places 13-1659.9% chance	1-6 3.5%7-12 36.7%13-16 59.9%
15Up 2.6	Esbjerg Why here? Neutral strength: #13 · 1458Last season: 920 returning players	164 played	0.502 total pts	13.49-16 range	Places 13-1671.2% chance	1-6 2.4%7-12 26.4%13-16 71.2%
16Up 0.7	HB Køge Why here? Neutral strength: #16 · 1445No equivalent last-season position18 returning players	156 played	0.332 total pts	14.312-16 range	Places 13-1684.3% chance	1-6 0.5%7-12 15.3%13-16 84.3%

Tested on past seasons

We test the forecast by replaying completed U17/U19 seasons from the same point in the calendar. At each checkpoint it only sees facts that were available then: results, opponent strength, player continuity and the remaining schedule.

2.39PlayerSignal · average position error9.8% closer than using the points-per-game table only

2.58Club strength only

2.65Current table pace only

How to read it: lower is better. A score of 2.39 means the average club finished about two to three places away from the forecast. The comparison cards show whether the full PlayerSignal forecast beats simpler shortcuts.

Backtest: 2025/26 and 2024/25 · U17/U19 Liga and Division · 10,000 possible season outcomes at every checkpoint.

How the forecast is calculated

The forecast adjusts current results for opponent strength and capped score margin, then combines them with a shrinking previous-season prior and each returning player's latest 10 validated U17/U19 matches. It tests 10,000 possible final tables.

15.5%last season's U19 Liga table

76.8%current results and opponent strength

7.7%players returning from last season

+35rating points for the home team

This is an early estimate, not a final result. It forecasts where each U19 Boys Liga team could finish, with cut lines after places 6 and 12.